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Cellular Subscriber Forecast by Country
An estimate and forecast of cellular subscribers and phone lines in 57 countries and 6 regions of the world. Handset sales by region are included.

Table of Contents

1.0 Executive Summary 5
1.1 Cellular Subscriber Driving Forces 6
1.2 Leading Countries by Number of Cellular Subscribers 7
2.0 Cellular Subscriber Trends 9
2.1 Cellular Technology Overview 9
2.2 What Is a Cellular Subscriber? 13
2.3 Cellular Industry Perspectives 15
2.4 Technology Impact on Cellular Use 18
2.5 Cellular Subscriber Summary Data 20
3.0 Forecast Methodology and Assumptions 22
3.1 Historical Data 22
3.2 Forecast Methodology  22
3.2.2 Ultimate Penetration Rates 24
3.3 Information Sources 25
4.0 Cellular Subscriber Estimate and Forecast 27
4.1 Cellular Subscribers by Country 27
4.2 Cellular Subscribers per 1,000 People by Country 29
4.3 Cellular Subscribers per Square Kilometer 30
4.4 Leading Countries by Number of Cellular Subscribers 32
4.5 Leading Countries by Number of Cellular Subscribers per Capita 34
4.6 Handset Sales by Region 36
4.7 Phone Lines by Country 38
4.8 Phone Lines per 1,000 People by Country 40
5.0 Cellular Subscriber Forecast Spreadsheet Details 43
5.1 Cellular Subscriber Data for 57 Countries 44
5.2 Cellular Subscriber Data by Regions 76


List of Tables and Figures

Table 1.1 U.S. and Worldwide Cellular Subscriber Growth 5
Figure 1.1 Cellular Subscribers by Regions 6
Table 1.2 Cellular Subscriber Driving Forces 6
Table 1.3 Top 15 Countries In Cellular Subscribers: 2004 7
Table 1.4 Top 15 Countries In Cellular Subscribers Per Capita: 2004 8
Table 2.1 Cellular Technology Overview 9
Table 2.2 GSM Versus CDMA 10
Table 2.3 Cellular Max Data Rates 11
Table 2.4 Regional Cell Phone Differences 13
Table 2.5 SIM Impact on Cellular Subscribers 13
Table 2.6 Cellular Subscriber Categories 14
Table 2.7 Cellular Industry Perspectives 15
Table 2.8 Cellular Technologies by Country 15
Table 2.9 PC Market Perspectives 15
Table 2.10 Internet Industry Perspectives 18
Table 2.11 Technology Impact on Cellular Use 18
Table 2.12 Cellular Subscriber Summary by Region  20
Table 3.1 Historical Data Availability 22
Table 3.2 Products In-Use per Capita 24
Table 3.3 Ultimate Penetration Factors: 2015 24
Table 3.4 Cellular Market Statistics Sources 25
Table 4.1 Cellular Subscribers By Country 27
Table 4.2 Cellular Subscriber Per 1,000 People By Country 29
Table 4.3 Cellular Subscriber per Square Km By Country 30
Table 4.4 Top 15 Countries By Cellular Subscribers: 1995 and 2000 32
Table 4.5 Top 15 Countries By Cellular Subscribers: 2004 and 2005 33
Table 4.6 Top 15 Countries By Cellular Subscribers: 2007 and 2010 33
Table 4.7 Top 15 Countries in Cellular Subscribers Per Capita: 1995 & 2000 34
Table 4.8 Top 15 Countries in Cellular Subscribers Per Capita: 2004 & 2005 35
Table 4.9 Top 15 Countries in Cellular Subscribers Per Capita: 2007 & 2010 36
Table 4.10 Handset Sales by Region 36
Table 4.11 Phone Lines by Country 38
Table 4.12 Phone Lines per 1,000 People by Country 40
Table 5.1 Cellular Subscriber Forecast Content 43
Table 5.2 Argentina 44
Table 5.3 Australia 44
Table 5.4 Austria 45
Table 5.5 Belgium 46
Table 5.6 Brazil 46
Table 5.7 Bulgaria 47
Table 5.8 Canada 47
Table 5.9 Chile 48
Table 5.10 China 48
Table 5.11 Columbia 49
Table 5.12 Czech Republic 49
Table 5.13 Denmark 50
Table 5.14 Egypt 50
Table 5.15 Estonia 51
Table 5.16 Finland 52
Table 5.17 France 52
Table 5.18 Germany 53
Table 5.19 Greece 55
Table 5.20 Hong Kong 54
Table 5.21 Hungary 54
Table 5.22 Iceland 55
Table 5.23 India 56
Table 5.24 Indonesia 56
Table 5.25 Ireland 57
Table 5.26 Israel 57
Table 5.27 Italy 58
Table 5.28 Japan 58
Table 5.29 Latvia 59
Table 5.30 Lithuania 59
Table 5.31 Malaysia 60
Table 5.32 Mexico 61
Table 5.33 Netherlands 61
Table 5.34 New Zealand 62
Table 5.35 Norway 62
Table 5.36 Peru 63
Table 5.37 Philippines 63
Table 5.38 Poland 64
Table 5.39 Portugal 64
Table 5.40 Romania 65
Table 5.41 Russia 66
Table 5.42 Saudi Arabia 66
Table 5.43 Singapore 67
Table 5.44 Slovakia 67
Table 5.45 Slovenia 68
Table 5.46 South Africa 68
Table 5.47 South Korea 69
Table 5.48 Spain 69
Table 5.49 Sweden 70
Table 5.50 Switzerland 70
Table 5.51 Taiwan 71
Table 5.52 Thailand 72
Table 5.53 Turkey 72
Table 5.54 Ukraine 73
Table 5.55 United Kingdom 73
Table 5.56 USA 74
Table 5.57 Uruguay 75
Table 5.58 Venezuela 75
Table 5.59 Other Countries 76
Table 5.60 Worldwide 77
Table 5.61 North America 77
Table 5.62 Western Europe 78
Table 5.63 Eastern Europe 79
Table 5.64 Asia Pacific 80
Table 5.65 South/Central America 81
Table 5.66 Middle East & Africa 81

 
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